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PAX Global Technology Limited (0327.HK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Business Equipment & SuppliesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$29.62 - $68.24$43.28
Multi-Stage$40.64 - $44.56$42.56
Blended Fair Value$42.92
Current Price$6.05
Upside609.46%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS41.61%0.00%0.460.400.320.320.130.080.080.080.060.02
YoY Growth--16.53%24.58%-1.58%149.18%59.98%0.00%-1.17%32.82%201.62%0.00%
Dividend Yield--8.61%6.65%4.72%5.86%1.89%2.22%2.87%2.30%1.20%0.26%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,608.83
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)992.08
(=) Cash Retained (M)616.75
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)321.77201.10120.66
Cash Retained (M)616.75616.75616.75
(-) Cash Required (M)-321.77-201.10-120.66
(=) Excess Retained (M)294.98415.64496.08
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,083.961,083.961,083.96
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.270.380.46
LTM Dividend per Share0.920.920.92
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.270.380.46
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.191.301.37
WACC / Discount Rate6.28%6.28%6.28%
Growth Rate2.18%3.18%4.18%
Fair Value$29.62$43.28$68.24
Upside / Downside389.61%615.42%1,027.97%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,608.831,659.981,712.771,767.231,823.421,881.401,937.84
Payout Ratio61.66%67.33%73.00%78.67%84.33%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)992.081,117.701,250.301,390.211,537.741,693.261,792.50

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.28%6.28%6.28%
Growth Rate2.18%3.18%4.18%
Year 1 PV (M)1,041.501,051.701,061.89
Year 2 PV (M)1,085.641,107.001,128.56
Year 3 PV (M)1,124.841,158.181,192.19
Year 4 PV (M)1,159.391,205.451,252.87
Year 5 PV (M)1,189.621,248.981,310.69
PV of Terminal Value (M)38,445.7240,364.1942,358.49
Equity Value (M)44,046.7246,135.5048,304.67
Shares Outstanding (M)1,083.961,083.961,083.96
Fair Value$40.64$42.56$44.56
Upside / Downside571.65%603.50%636.58%

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