Definitive Analysis
| Stable Growth | $1,063,829.23 - $2,544,444.55 | $2,384,517.18 |
| Multi-Stage | $366,847.25 - $401,881.27 | $384,041.07 |
| Blended Fair Value | $1,384,279.12 | |
| Current Price | $84,200.00 | |
| Upside | 1,544.04% | |
| Decision | Buy | |
| Metric | 5Y CAGR | 10Y CAGR | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DPS | 97.55% | 0.00% | 1,244.16 | 2,158.45 | 314.50 | 1,205.77 | 1,305.94 | 41.36 | 206.12 | 36.12 | 18.11 | 0.00 |
| YoY Growth | - | - | -42.36% | 586.32% | -73.92% | -7.67% | 3,057.81% | -79.94% | 470.67% | 99.43% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| Dividend Yield | - | - | 1.44% | 1.81% | 0.39% | 0.93% | 0.71% | 0.03% | 0.12% | 0.03% | 0.01% | 0.00% |
| Net Income To Common (M) | 251,476.20 |
| (-) Cash Dividends Paid (M) | 29,231.13 |
| (=) Cash Retained (M) | 222,245.07 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| Required Retention Ratio | 20.0% | 12.5% | 7.5% |
| (=) Cash Required (M) | 50,295.24 | 31,434.53 | 18,860.72 |
| Cash Retained (M) | 222,245.07 | 222,245.07 | 222,245.07 |
| (-) Cash Required (M) | -50,295.24 | -31,434.53 | -18,860.72 |
| (=) Excess Retained (M) | 171,949.83 | 190,810.55 | 203,384.36 |
| (/) Shares Outstanding (M) | 19.66 | 19.66 | 19.66 |
| (=) Excess Retained per Share | 8,748.18 | 9,707.74 | 10,347.45 |
| LTM Dividend per Share | 1,487.17 | 1,487.17 | 1,487.17 |
| (+) Excess Retained per Share | 8,748.18 | 9,707.74 | 10,347.45 |
| (=) Adjusted Dividend | 10,235.35 | 11,194.92 | 11,834.63 |
| WACC / Discount Rate | 6.52% | 6.52% | 6.52% |
| Growth Rate | 5.50% | 6.50% | 7.50% |
| Fair Value | $1,063,829.23 | $2,384,517.18 | $2,544,444.55 |
| Upside / Downside | 1,163.46% | 2,731.97% | 2,921.91% |
| Metric | TTM | Dec-27 | Dec-28 | Dec-29 | Dec-30 | Dec-31 | Terminal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Income (M) | 251,476.20 | 267,822.16 | 285,230.60 | 303,770.59 | 323,515.67 | 344,544.19 | 354,880.52 |
| Payout Ratio | 11.62% | 27.30% | 42.97% | 58.65% | 74.32% | 90.00% | 92.50% |
| Projected Dividends (M) | 29,231.13 | 73,112.91 | 122,575.82 | 178,160.01 | 240,452.26 | 310,089.77 | 328,264.48 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| WACC / Discount Rate | 6.52% | 6.52% | 6.52% |
| Growth Rate | 5.50% | 6.50% | 7.50% |
| Year 1 PV (M) | 67,996.41 | 68,640.93 | 69,285.44 |
| Year 2 PV (M) | 106,020.21 | 108,039.59 | 110,078.03 |
| Year 3 PV (M) | 143,313.13 | 147,427.13 | 151,619.13 |
| Year 4 PV (M) | 179,885.65 | 186,803.54 | 193,919.08 |
| Year 5 PV (M) | 215,748.12 | 226,168.83 | 236,988.38 |
| PV of Terminal Value (M) | 6,497,602.63 | 6,811,439.27 | 7,137,287.17 |
| Equity Value (M) | 7,210,566.15 | 7,548,519.30 | 7,899,177.23 |
| Shares Outstanding (M) | 19.66 | 19.66 | 19.66 |
| Fair Value | $366,847.25 | $384,041.07 | $401,881.27 |
| Upside / Downside | 335.69% | 356.11% | 377.29% |
| Ticker ⇵ | Company ⇵ | Dividend Yield % ▼ | Dividend Per Share ⇵ | Payout Ratio % ⇵ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PFE | Pfizer Inc. | 6.75% | $1.70 | 98.83% |
| COG | Cabot Oil & Gas Corporation | 6.71% | $1.49 | 52.20% |
| VZ | Verizon Communications Inc. | 6.66% | $2.70 | 57.56% |
| AC | Associated Capital Group, Inc. | 6.63% | $2.21 | 86.94% |
| VAC | Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corporation | 6.62% | $3.90 | 78.61% |
| SSTK | Shutterstock, Inc. | 6.61% | $1.24 | 75.34% |
| EPD | Enterprise Products Partners L.P. | 6.60% | $2.12 | 80.06% |
| SXC | SunCoke Energy, Inc. | 6.57% | $0.48 | 63.44% |
| DIN | Dine Brands Global, Inc. | 6.56% | $2.18 | 90.98% |
| CBL | CBL & Associates Properties, Inc. | 6.54% | $2.42 | 61.13% |
| CRI | Carter's, Inc. | 6.47% | $2.15 | 85.39% |
| KYN | Kayne Anderson Energy Infrastructure Fund, Inc. | 6.47% | $0.80 | 35.36% |
| SMMCX | Western Asset Managed Municipals Fund Class C | 6.45% | $0.96 | 71.65% |
| HESM | Hess Midstream LP | 6.39% | $2.21 | 87.39% |
| WRB-PF | W.R. Berkley Corporation 5.10% | 6.38% | $1.27 | 26.69% |
| RMT | Royce Micro-Cap Trust, Inc. | 6.37% | $0.67 | 32.29% |
| PNF | PIMCO New York Municipal Income Fund | 6.30% | $0.48 | 54.92% |
| ENR | Energizer Holdings, Inc. | 6.29% | $1.25 | 36.44% |
| UPS | United Parcel Service, Inc. | 6.29% | $6.35 | 98.06% |
| NWBI | Northwest Bancshares, Inc. | 6.27% | $0.75 | 93.81% |
| UIHC | United Insurance Holdings Corp. | 6.27% | $0.48 | 5.99% |
| TROW | T. Rowe Price Group, Inc. | 6.24% | $6.53 | 69.41% |
| JRSH | Jerash Holdings (US), Inc. | 6.20% | $0.19 | 0.52% |
| MUA | BlackRock MuniAssets Fund, Inc. | 6.14% | $0.66 | 73.39% |
| VKI | Invesco Advantage Municipal Income Trust II | 6.11% | $0.56 | 76.68% |
| GL-PD | Globe Life Inc. 4.25% Junior Su | 6.10% | $1.03 | 7.35% |
| CLNY | Colony Capital, Inc. | 6.07% | $0.52 | 13.43% |
| OMF | OneMain Holdings, Inc. | 6.07% | $4.20 | 71.06% |
| VICI | VICI Properties Inc. | 6.07% | $1.71 | 65.54% |
| IMMR | Immersion Corporation | 6.06% | $0.39 | 14.22% |
| KRNY | Kearny Financial Corp. | 5.99% | $0.44 | 93.99% |
| DMF | BNY Mellon Municipal Income, Inc. | 5.97% | $0.41 | 29.64% |
| UNB | Union Bankshares, Inc. | 5.96% | $1.41 | 57.02% |
| ARTMX | Artisan Mid Cap Fund Inv Shs | 5.91% | $1.95 | 91.77% |
| SABA | Saba Capital Income & Opportunities Fund II | 5.87% | $0.49 | 24.55% |
| BRD | Beard Energy Transition Acquisition Corp. | 5.86% | $0.63 | 95.51% |
| ETRN | Equitrans Midstream Corporation | 5.81% | $0.72 | 69.91% |
| EHLDV | Euroholdings Ltd | 5.80% | $0.28 | 5.02% |
| REPX | Riley Exploration Permian, Inc. | 5.80% | $1.54 | 38.01% |
| AII | American Integrity Insurance Group, Inc. | 5.79% | $1.17 | 26.25% |
| VRTS | Virtus Investment Partners, Inc. | 5.75% | $9.35 | 47.12% |
| CXH | MFS Investment Grade Municipal Trust | 5.74% | $0.46 | 80.40% |
| GES | Guess', Inc. | 5.72% | $0.96 | 61.52% |
| KRC | Kilroy Realty Corporation | 5.71% | $2.17 | 79.80% |
| WRB-PE | W. R. Berkley Corporation 5.70% SB DB 2058 | 5.68% | $1.27 | 26.69% |
| LEO | BNY Mellon Strategic Municipals, Inc. | 5.66% | $0.36 | 37.22% |
| WLYB | John Wiley & Sons, Inc. | 5.64% | $1.76 | 92.90% |
| KMPB | Kemper Corporation 5.875% Fixed | 5.60% | $1.31 | 32.45% |
| CBTX | CBTX, Inc. | 5.56% | $1.63 | 54.55% |
| 0HST.L | Campbell Soup Company | 5.53% | $1.55 | 80.10% |