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High Co. S.A. (HCO.PA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Advertising AgenciesSector: Communication Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$8.46 - $13.35$10.70
Multi-Stage$17.42 - $19.14$18.26
Blended Fair Value$14.48
Current Price$3.83
Upside278.07%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.80%13.46%0.280.410.430.430.000.270.220.200.100.08
YoY Growth---30.60%-5.93%-0.50%170,700.00%-99.91%21.85%13.40%96.54%25.83%-0.57%
Dividend Yield--11.21%10.82%9.08%8.67%0.01%4.45%5.02%3.93%1.55%1.64%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)16.70
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)10.41
(=) Cash Retained (M)6.29
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)3.342.091.25
Cash Retained (M)6.296.296.29
(-) Cash Required (M)-3.34-2.09-1.25
(=) Excess Retained (M)2.954.205.04
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)19.7119.7119.71
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.150.210.26
LTM Dividend per Share0.530.530.53
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.150.210.26
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.680.740.78
WACC / Discount Rate6.72%6.72%6.72%
Growth Rate-1.20%-0.20%0.80%
Fair Value$8.46$10.70$13.35
Upside / Downside120.85%179.27%248.58%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)16.7016.6616.6316.6016.5616.5317.03
Payout Ratio62.33%67.86%73.40%78.93%84.47%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)10.4111.3112.2113.1013.9914.8815.75

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.72%6.72%6.72%
Growth Rate-1.20%-0.20%0.80%
Year 1 PV (M)10.4910.6010.70
Year 2 PV (M)10.5010.7210.93
Year 3 PV (M)10.4610.7811.11
Year 4 PV (M)10.3610.7911.23
Year 5 PV (M)10.2210.7511.30
PV of Terminal Value (M)291.23306.27321.92
Equity Value (M)343.26359.90377.19
Shares Outstanding (M)19.7119.7119.71
Fair Value$17.42$18.26$19.14
Upside / Downside354.82%376.86%399.77%

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