Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

H&E Equipment Services, Inc. (HEES)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Rental & Leasing ServicesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$20.81 - $30.98$25.65
Multi-Stage$28.16 - $30.81$29.46
Blended Fair Value$27.56
Current Price$94.79
Upside-70.93%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.41%8.18%1.101.101.091.091.091.081.081.071.071.02
YoY Growth--0.42%0.46%0.27%0.39%0.53%0.29%0.26%0.27%5.26%102.53%
Dividend Yield--1.16%1.74%2.47%2.51%2.86%7.36%4.10%2.79%4.37%5.81%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)90.89
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)40.25
(=) Cash Retained (M)50.64
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)18.1811.366.82
Cash Retained (M)50.6450.6450.64
(-) Cash Required (M)-18.18-11.36-6.82
(=) Excess Retained (M)32.4639.2843.82
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)36.4536.4536.45
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.891.081.20
LTM Dividend per Share1.101.101.10
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.891.081.20
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.992.182.31
WACC / Discount Rate10.00%10.00%10.00%
Growth Rate0.38%1.38%2.38%
Fair Value$20.81$25.65$30.98
Upside / Downside-78.05%-72.94%-67.32%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)90.8992.1493.4194.7096.0097.33100.25
Payout Ratio44.29%53.43%62.57%71.71%80.86%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)40.2549.2358.4567.9177.6387.5992.73

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate10.00%10.00%10.00%
Growth Rate0.38%1.38%2.38%
Year 1 PV (M)44.3144.7545.19
Year 2 PV (M)47.3648.3049.26
Year 3 PV (M)49.5351.0252.55
Year 4 PV (M)50.9653.0255.14
Year 5 PV (M)51.7654.3957.12
PV of Terminal Value (M)782.72822.49863.86
Equity Value (M)1,026.631,073.981,123.13
Shares Outstanding (M)36.4536.4536.45
Fair Value$28.16$29.46$30.81
Upside / Downside-70.29%-68.92%-67.50%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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