Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Leon's Furniture Limited (LNF.TO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Specialty RetailSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$23.62 - $36.23$29.50
Multi-Stage$31.11 - $34.08$32.57
Blended Fair Value$31.04
Current Price$28.84
Upside7.61%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS3.08%5.93%0.730.630.652.480.650.630.560.480.420.41
YoY Growth--15.93%-2.67%-73.72%280.79%3.05%13.49%15.03%15.81%0.65%0.48%
Dividend Yield--3.10%2.82%3.76%11.10%2.83%4.68%3.84%2.88%2.49%2.86%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)173.81
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)54.57
(=) Cash Retained (M)119.24
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)34.7621.7313.04
Cash Retained (M)119.24119.24119.24
(-) Cash Required (M)-34.76-21.73-13.04
(=) Excess Retained (M)84.4897.51106.20
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)68.6768.6768.67
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.231.421.55
LTM Dividend per Share0.790.790.79
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.231.421.55
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.022.212.34
WACC / Discount Rate9.48%9.48%9.48%
Growth Rate0.83%1.83%2.83%
Fair Value$23.62$29.50$36.23
Upside / Downside-18.10%2.30%25.64%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)173.81177.00180.24183.54186.90190.33196.04
Payout Ratio31.40%43.12%54.84%66.56%78.28%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)54.5776.3298.84122.16146.31171.30181.34

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.48%9.48%9.48%
Growth Rate0.83%1.83%2.83%
Year 1 PV (M)69.0369.7170.40
Year 2 PV (M)80.8682.4784.10
Year 3 PV (M)90.3993.1195.88
Year 4 PV (M)97.91101.85105.91
Year 5 PV (M)103.68108.93114.38
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,694.651,780.371,869.52
Equity Value (M)2,136.522,236.432,340.18
Shares Outstanding (M)68.6768.6768.67
Fair Value$31.11$32.57$34.08
Upside / Downside7.88%12.93%18.17%

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