Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Singapore Telecommunications Limited (Z74.SI)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Telecommunications ServicesSector: Communication Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$3.09 - $4.66$3.83
Multi-Stage$7.33 - $8.05$7.68
Blended Fair Value$5.76
Current Price$4.13
Upside39.42%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS-0.58%0.36%0.170.110.100.070.080.170.170.200.170.17
YoY Growth--57.06%11.46%39.12%-10.51%-55.44%0.00%-14.63%18.85%0.94%4.17%
Dividend Yield--4.71%4.20%3.89%2.61%3.15%6.79%5.66%6.00%4.34%4.41%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)6,079.60
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)5,333.30
(=) Cash Retained (M)746.30
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1,215.92759.95455.97
Cash Retained (M)746.30746.30746.30
(-) Cash Required (M)-1,215.92-759.95-455.97
(=) Excess Retained (M)-469.62-13.65290.33
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)16,557.9316,557.9316,557.93
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.030.000.02
LTM Dividend per Share0.320.320.32
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.030.000.02
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.290.320.34
WACC / Discount Rate6.66%6.66%6.66%
Growth Rate-2.58%-1.58%-0.58%
Fair Value$3.09$3.83$4.66
Upside / Downside-25.06%-7.16%12.83%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)6,079.605,983.285,888.485,795.185,703.365,613.005,781.39
Payout Ratio87.72%88.18%88.63%89.09%89.54%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)5,333.305,276.035,219.245,162.925,107.075,051.705,347.79

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.66%6.66%6.66%
Growth Rate-2.58%-1.58%-0.58%
Year 1 PV (M)4,896.264,946.524,996.78
Year 2 PV (M)4,494.914,587.664,681.37
Year 3 PV (M)4,126.354,254.734,385.75
Year 4 PV (M)3,787.913,945.864,108.69
Year 5 PV (M)3,477.143,659.313,849.04
PV of Terminal Value (M)100,531.00105,797.93111,283.33
Equity Value (M)121,313.56127,192.01133,304.96
Shares Outstanding (M)16,557.9316,557.9316,557.93
Fair Value$7.33$7.68$8.05
Upside / Downside77.40%86.00%94.94%

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