Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Clear Secure, Inc. (YOU)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Software - ApplicationSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$11.13 - $15.63$13.36
Multi-Stage$16.89 - $18.48$17.67
Blended Fair Value$15.52
Current Price$33.38
Upside-53.51%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019
DPS0.00%0.00%0.911.230.370.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---25.42%228.66%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--3.53%5.88%1.43%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)181.69
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)92.46
(=) Cash Retained (M)89.24
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)36.3422.7113.63
Cash Retained (M)89.2489.2489.24
(-) Cash Required (M)-36.34-22.71-13.63
(=) Excess Retained (M)52.9066.5375.61
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)102.12102.12102.12
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.520.650.74
LTM Dividend per Share0.910.910.91
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.520.650.74
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.421.561.65
WACC / Discount Rate10.53%10.53%10.53%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$11.13$13.36$15.63
Upside / Downside-66.66%-59.96%-53.19%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)181.69179.88178.08176.30174.53172.79177.97
Payout Ratio50.89%58.71%66.53%74.35%82.18%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)92.46105.60118.48131.08143.43155.51164.62

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate10.53%10.53%10.53%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)94.5795.5496.50
Year 2 PV (M)95.0296.9798.94
Year 3 PV (M)94.1597.07100.04
Year 4 PV (M)92.2696.09100.03
Year 5 PV (M)89.5994.2599.11
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,258.931,324.491,392.74
Equity Value (M)1,724.531,804.401,887.36
Shares Outstanding (M)102.12102.12102.12
Fair Value$16.89$17.67$18.48
Upside / Downside-49.41%-47.06%-44.63%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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