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XTB S.A. (XTB.WA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Financial - Capital MarketsSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$421.25 - $1,360.32$1,274.82
Multi-Stage$186.09 - $203.30$194.54
Blended Fair Value$734.68
Current Price$81.46
Upside801.89%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS96.87%0.00%5.024.851.501.790.240.170.350.320.780.66
YoY Growth--3.46%224.00%-16.20%645.84%41.18%-51.43%9.37%-58.97%18.11%0.00%
Dividend Yield--7.37%8.55%4.73%9.23%1.40%3.69%8.85%5.81%8.49%5.47%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)804.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)640.75
(=) Cash Retained (M)163.24
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)160.80100.5060.30
Cash Retained (M)163.24163.24163.24
(-) Cash Required (M)-160.80-100.50-60.30
(=) Excess Retained (M)2.4462.74102.94
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)117.54117.54117.54
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.020.530.88
LTM Dividend per Share5.455.455.45
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.020.530.88
(=) Adjusted Dividend5.475.996.33
WACC / Discount Rate6.87%6.87%6.87%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$421.25$1,274.82$1,360.32
Upside / Downside417.12%1,464.97%1,569.93%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)804.00856.26911.91971.191,034.311,101.541,134.59
Payout Ratio79.70%81.76%83.82%85.88%87.94%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)640.75700.05764.34834.04909.57991.391,049.50

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.87%6.87%6.87%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)648.89655.04661.19
Year 2 PV (M)656.72669.23681.85
Year 3 PV (M)664.24683.30702.73
Year 4 PV (M)671.45697.27723.83
Year 5 PV (M)678.38711.14745.16
PV of Terminal Value (M)18,554.2419,450.4220,380.89
Equity Value (M)21,873.9122,866.4123,895.67
Shares Outstanding (M)117.54117.54117.54
Fair Value$186.09$194.54$203.30
Upside / Downside128.45%138.81%149.56%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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