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Definitive Analysis

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Wynn Resorts, Limited (WYNN)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Gambling, Resorts & CasinosSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$36.76 - $53.79$44.97
Multi-Stage$52.34 - $57.34$54.79
Blended Fair Value$49.88
Current Price$128.27
Upside-61.11%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-24.44%-17.39%1.320.800.010.011.035.355.383.033.074.72
YoY Growth--64.71%5,763.88%-6.95%-98.57%-80.80%-0.57%77.63%-1.37%-34.84%-47.07%
Dividend Yield--1.58%0.75%0.01%0.02%0.82%8.89%4.16%1.66%2.68%5.05%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)504.28
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)176.38
(=) Cash Retained (M)327.90
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)100.8663.0337.82
Cash Retained (M)327.90327.90327.90
(-) Cash Required (M)-100.86-63.03-37.82
(=) Excess Retained (M)227.04264.86290.08
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)105.85105.85105.85
(=) Excess Retained per Share2.142.502.74
LTM Dividend per Share1.671.671.67
(+) Excess Retained per Share2.142.502.74
(=) Adjusted Dividend3.814.174.41
WACC / Discount Rate9.83%9.83%9.83%
Growth Rate-0.48%0.52%1.52%
Fair Value$36.76$44.97$53.79
Upside / Downside-71.34%-64.94%-58.07%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)504.28506.88509.50512.14514.79517.45532.97
Payout Ratio34.98%45.98%56.99%67.99%79.00%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)176.38233.07290.35348.21406.66465.70493.00

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.83%9.83%9.83%
Growth Rate-0.48%0.52%1.52%
Year 1 PV (M)210.09212.21214.32
Year 2 PV (M)235.92240.68245.50
Year 3 PV (M)255.04262.80270.73
Year 4 PV (M)268.48279.44290.73
Year 5 PV (M)277.15291.36306.15
PV of Terminal Value (M)4,293.504,513.594,742.62
Equity Value (M)5,540.195,800.096,070.03
Shares Outstanding (M)105.85105.85105.85
Fair Value$52.34$54.79$57.34
Upside / Downside-59.20%-57.28%-55.29%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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