Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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W.R. Berkley Corporation 4.125% (WRB-PH)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Insurance - Property & CasualtySector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$278.95 - $946.87$887.36
Multi-Stage$122.28 - $133.83$127.95
Blended Fair Value$507.65
Current Price$76.62
Upside562.56%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS11.53%11.35%1.331.250.590.890.210.770.640.470.460.14
YoY Growth--6.08%113.21%-33.89%322.76%-72.70%20.88%35.47%2.28%217.05%-68.02%
Dividend Yield--1.87%2.15%1.42%2.00%0.63%3.32%2.53%2.18%2.20%0.87%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,905.99
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)508.80
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,397.19
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)381.20238.25142.95
Cash Retained (M)1,397.191,397.191,397.19
(-) Cash Required (M)-381.20-238.25-142.95
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,015.991,158.941,254.24
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)400.32400.32400.32
(=) Excess Retained per Share2.542.903.13
LTM Dividend per Share1.271.271.27
(+) Excess Retained per Share2.542.903.13
(=) Adjusted Dividend3.814.174.40
WACC / Discount Rate6.94%6.94%6.94%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$278.95$887.36$946.87
Upside / Downside264.07%1,058.13%1,135.81%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,905.992,029.882,161.822,302.342,451.992,611.372,689.72
Payout Ratio26.69%39.36%52.02%64.68%77.34%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)508.80798.881,124.521,489.111,896.352,350.242,487.99

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.94%6.94%6.94%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)740.02747.03754.05
Year 2 PV (M)964.91983.291,001.84
Year 3 PV (M)1,183.611,217.581,252.21
Year 4 PV (M)1,396.241,449.931,505.16
Year 5 PV (M)1,602.931,680.351,760.73
PV of Terminal Value (M)43,061.9145,141.8147,301.32
Equity Value (M)48,949.6151,220.0053,575.31
Shares Outstanding (M)400.32400.32400.32
Fair Value$122.28$127.95$133.83
Upside / Downside59.59%66.99%74.67%

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