Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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WHA Utilities and Power Public Company Limited (WHAUP-R.BK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Regulated WaterSector: Utilities

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$2.76 - $4.29$3.47
Multi-Stage$6.63 - $7.29$6.95
Blended Fair Value$5.21
Current Price$4.18
Upside24.65%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-3.64%0.00%0.260.160.230.260.260.310.210.000.000.00
YoY Growth--57.82%-27.28%-12.87%0.02%-16.95%49.45%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--7.36%4.08%5.82%6.35%5.81%7.54%3.62%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,087.58
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)965.75
(=) Cash Retained (M)121.83
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)217.52135.9581.57
Cash Retained (M)121.83121.83121.83
(-) Cash Required (M)-217.52-135.95-81.57
(=) Excess Retained (M)-95.68-14.1240.26
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)3,709.143,709.143,709.14
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.030.000.01
LTM Dividend per Share0.260.260.26
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.030.000.01
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.230.260.27
WACC / Discount Rate6.32%6.32%6.32%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$2.76$3.47$4.29
Upside / Downside-33.91%-17.01%2.64%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,087.581,076.711,065.941,055.281,044.731,034.281,065.31
Payout Ratio88.80%89.04%89.28%89.52%89.76%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)965.75958.68951.66944.68937.74930.85985.41

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.32%6.32%6.32%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)892.57901.68910.79
Year 2 PV (M)824.93841.85858.95
Year 3 PV (M)762.41785.99810.05
Year 4 PV (M)704.63733.83763.93
Year 5 PV (M)651.22685.13720.44
PV of Terminal Value (M)20,754.1921,834.9122,960.19
Equity Value (M)24,589.9625,783.4027,024.34
Shares Outstanding (M)3,709.143,709.143,709.14
Fair Value$6.63$6.95$7.29
Upside / Downside58.60%66.30%74.30%

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