Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Ticker

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Sector

Weatherford International plc (WFRD)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Oil & Gas Equipment & ServicesSector: Energy

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$37.17 - $52.93$44.92
Multi-Stage$56.62 - $62.20$59.35
Blended Fair Value$52.14
Current Price$68.43
Upside-23.81%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%0.490.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.92%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)405.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)72.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)333.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)81.0050.6330.38
Cash Retained (M)333.00333.00333.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-81.00-50.63-30.38
(=) Excess Retained (M)252.00282.38302.63
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)73.2373.2373.23
(=) Excess Retained per Share3.443.864.13
LTM Dividend per Share0.980.980.98
(+) Excess Retained per Share3.443.864.13
(=) Adjusted Dividend4.424.845.12
WACC / Discount Rate9.67%9.67%9.67%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$37.17$44.92$52.93
Upside / Downside-45.68%-34.36%-22.65%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)405.00400.95396.94392.97389.04385.15396.71
Payout Ratio17.78%32.22%46.67%61.11%75.56%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)72.00129.20185.24240.15293.94346.64366.95

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.67%9.67%9.67%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)116.62117.81119.00
Year 2 PV (M)150.93154.02157.15
Year 3 PV (M)176.62182.08187.65
Year 4 PV (M)195.14203.22211.56
Year 5 PV (M)207.71218.53229.79
PV of Terminal Value (M)3,298.663,470.433,649.28
Equity Value (M)4,145.684,346.104,554.44
Shares Outstanding (M)73.2373.2373.23
Fair Value$56.62$59.35$62.20
Upside / Downside-17.26%-13.27%-9.11%

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