Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Webster Financial Corporation (WBS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Banks - RegionalSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$105.96 - $229.01$151.43
Multi-Stage$77.99 - $85.13$81.50
Blended Fair Value$116.47
Current Price$59.44
Upside95.94%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS14.29%15.07%1.641.661.480.860.870.840.690.560.530.48
YoY Growth---1.30%12.26%71.10%-0.11%2.97%22.46%21.48%5.71%10.57%20.07%
Dividend Yield--3.18%3.35%3.75%1.54%1.57%3.67%1.30%1.02%1.07%1.35%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)924.75
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)270.15
(=) Cash Retained (M)654.60
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)184.95115.5969.36
Cash Retained (M)654.60654.60654.60
(-) Cash Required (M)-184.95-115.59-69.36
(=) Excess Retained (M)469.65539.00585.24
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)167.53167.53167.53
(=) Excess Retained per Share2.803.223.49
LTM Dividend per Share1.611.611.61
(+) Excess Retained per Share2.803.223.49
(=) Adjusted Dividend4.424.835.11
WACC / Discount Rate9.90%9.90%9.90%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$105.96$151.43$229.01
Upside / Downside78.26%154.77%285.28%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)924.75984.861,048.871,117.051,189.661,266.981,304.99
Payout Ratio29.21%41.37%53.53%65.69%77.84%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)270.15407.44561.44733.74926.061,140.291,207.12

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.90%9.90%9.90%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)367.27370.75374.23
Year 2 PV (M)456.18464.87473.64
Year 3 PV (M)537.40552.82568.54
Year 4 PV (M)611.38634.89659.08
Year 5 PV (M)678.59711.36745.39
PV of Terminal Value (M)10,415.9610,919.0511,441.40
Equity Value (M)13,066.7713,653.7514,262.29
Shares Outstanding (M)167.53167.53167.53
Fair Value$77.99$81.50$85.13
Upside / Downside31.22%37.11%43.22%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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