Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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VICI Properties Inc. (VICI)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: REIT - DiversifiedSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$89.04 - $522.84$164.20
Multi-Stage$54.46 - $59.44$56.90
Blended Fair Value$110.55
Current Price$32.61
Upside239.01%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS28.31%0.00%1.651.491.150.720.580.480.250.000.000.00
YoY Growth--10.68%29.92%60.67%23.94%21.48%91.85%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--5.07%5.05%3.53%2.52%2.05%2.86%1.14%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)2,785.32
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,825.40
(=) Cash Retained (M)959.92
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)557.06348.17208.90
Cash Retained (M)959.92959.92959.92
(-) Cash Required (M)-557.06-348.17-208.90
(=) Excess Retained (M)402.86611.75751.02
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,059.471,059.471,059.47
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.380.580.71
LTM Dividend per Share1.721.721.72
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.380.580.71
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.102.302.43
WACC / Discount Rate7.99%7.99%7.99%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$89.04$164.20$522.84
Upside / Downside173.04%403.53%1,503.30%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)2,785.322,966.373,159.183,364.533,583.223,816.133,930.61
Payout Ratio65.54%70.43%75.32%80.21%85.11%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,825.402,089.192,379.552,698.843,049.583,434.523,635.82

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.99%7.99%7.99%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)1,916.411,934.581,952.74
Year 2 PV (M)2,002.252,040.392,078.88
Year 3 PV (M)2,083.112,142.902,203.84
Year 4 PV (M)2,159.162,242.202,327.61
Year 5 PV (M)2,230.602,338.342,450.20
PV of Terminal Value (M)47,302.5649,587.3051,959.47
Equity Value (M)57,694.1060,285.7062,972.74
Shares Outstanding (M)1,059.471,059.471,059.47
Fair Value$54.46$56.90$59.44
Upside / Downside66.99%74.49%82.27%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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