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Definitive Analysis

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Via Renewables, Inc. (VIASP)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Regulated ElectricSector: Utilities

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$80.75 - $142.61$106.97
Multi-Stage$155.39 - $170.79$162.94
Blended Fair Value$134.95
Current Price$25.73
Upside424.50%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.90%31.15%2.970.783.133.002.892.842.672.602.291.22
YoY Growth--277.80%-74.92%4.31%3.95%1.80%6.12%2.77%13.77%87.77%518.03%
Dividend Yield--12.22%3.89%14.90%12.01%11.23%17.11%11.38%10.83%8.83%4.98%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)22.22
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)10.94
(=) Cash Retained (M)11.29
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)4.442.781.67
Cash Retained (M)11.2911.2911.29
(-) Cash Required (M)-4.44-2.78-1.67
(=) Excess Retained (M)6.848.519.62
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)3.663.663.66
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.872.322.63
LTM Dividend per Share2.992.992.99
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.872.322.63
(=) Adjusted Dividend4.855.315.61
WACC / Discount Rate6.16%6.16%6.16%
Growth Rate0.14%1.14%2.14%
Fair Value$80.75$106.97$142.61
Upside / Downside213.83%315.74%454.24%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)22.2222.4722.7322.9923.2523.5124.22
Payout Ratio49.21%57.37%65.53%73.68%81.84%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)10.9412.8914.8916.9419.0321.1622.40

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.16%6.16%6.16%
Growth Rate0.14%1.14%2.14%
Year 1 PV (M)12.0212.1412.26
Year 2 PV (M)12.9613.2213.48
Year 3 PV (M)13.7414.1614.58
Year 4 PV (M)14.4014.9815.58
Year 5 PV (M)14.9415.7016.49
PV of Terminal Value (M)500.91526.43552.97
Equity Value (M)568.97596.62625.37
Shares Outstanding (M)3.663.663.66
Fair Value$155.39$162.94$170.79
Upside / Downside503.91%533.26%563.77%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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