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Definitive Analysis

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TKH Group N.V. (TWEKA.AS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Communication EquipmentSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$61.18 - $108.88$81.29
Multi-Stage$99.07 - $108.63$103.76
Blended Fair Value$92.53
Current Price$38.88
Upside137.98%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS2.92%12.03%1.691.681.541.021.561.461.281.200.850.71
YoY Growth--0.28%9.56%50.24%-34.27%6.46%13.91%7.39%40.72%19.01%31.62%
Dividend Yield--5.07%4.26%4.14%1.84%3.94%2.93%3.15%2.26%2.26%1.91%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)180.52
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)128.04
(=) Cash Retained (M)52.48
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)36.1022.5713.54
Cash Retained (M)52.4852.4852.48
(-) Cash Required (M)-36.10-22.57-13.54
(=) Excess Retained (M)16.3729.9138.94
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)40.2040.2040.20
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.410.740.97
LTM Dividend per Share3.183.183.18
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.410.740.97
(=) Adjusted Dividend3.593.934.15
WACC / Discount Rate6.85%6.85%6.85%
Growth Rate0.92%1.92%2.92%
Fair Value$61.18$81.29$108.88
Upside / Downside57.35%109.09%180.05%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)180.52184.00187.54191.15194.83198.58204.53
Payout Ratio70.93%74.74%78.56%82.37%86.19%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)128.04137.53147.33157.45167.91178.72189.19

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.85%6.85%6.85%
Growth Rate0.92%1.92%2.92%
Year 1 PV (M)127.45128.71129.97
Year 2 PV (M)126.52129.04131.58
Year 3 PV (M)125.31129.07132.90
Year 4 PV (M)123.84128.82133.95
Year 5 PV (M)122.14128.32134.74
PV of Terminal Value (M)3,357.803,527.493,703.96
Equity Value (M)3,983.064,171.434,367.10
Shares Outstanding (M)40.2040.2040.20
Fair Value$99.07$103.76$108.63
Upside / Downside154.82%166.87%179.39%

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