Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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TriMas Corporation (TRS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Packaging & ContainersSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$7.96 - $11.58$9.71
Multi-Stage$13.24 - $14.57$13.89
Blended Fair Value$11.80
Current Price$38.64
Upside-69.46%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%0.160.160.170.040.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---1.04%-2.62%295.40%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.69%0.62%0.60%0.13%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)44.08
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)6.60
(=) Cash Retained (M)37.48
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)8.825.513.31
Cash Retained (M)37.4837.4837.48
(-) Cash Required (M)-8.82-5.51-3.31
(=) Excess Retained (M)28.6631.9734.17
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)40.9940.9940.99
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.700.780.83
LTM Dividend per Share0.160.160.16
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.700.780.83
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.860.940.99
WACC / Discount Rate8.59%8.59%8.59%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$7.96$9.71$11.58
Upside / Downside-79.40%-74.87%-70.04%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)44.0843.6443.2042.7742.3441.9243.18
Payout Ratio14.97%29.98%44.98%59.99%74.99%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)6.6013.0819.4325.6631.7537.7339.94

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.59%8.59%8.59%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)11.9312.0512.17
Year 2 PV (M)16.1516.4816.82
Year 3 PV (M)19.4420.0420.65
Year 4 PV (M)21.9322.8423.77
Year 5 PV (M)23.7524.9926.27
PV of Terminal Value (M)449.66473.07497.45
Equity Value (M)542.84569.46597.13
Shares Outstanding (M)40.9940.9940.99
Fair Value$13.24$13.89$14.57
Upside / Downside-65.73%-64.05%-62.30%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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