DDM Analysis: TR

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$18.16 - $32.83	$24.28
Multi-Stage	$29.11 - $31.98	$30.52
Blended Fair Value	$27.40
Current Price	$41.92
Upside	-34.64%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	1.69%	2.86%	0.35	0.35	0.34	0.33	0.33	0.32	0.32	0.31	0.31	0.29
YoY Growth	-	-	1.75%	1.81%	2.04%	1.37%	1.49%	2.10%	1.58%	1.59%	7.18%	7.97%
Dividend Yield	-	-	1.12%	1.12%	0.80%	1.04%	1.12%	1.04%	1.01%	1.30%	1.04%	1.07%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	93.77
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	25.95
(=) Cash Retained (M)	67.82

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	18.75	11.72	7.03
Cash Retained (M)	67.82	67.82	67.82
(-) Cash Required (M)	-18.75	-11.72	-7.03
(=) Excess Retained (M)	49.07	56.10	60.79
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	72.46	72.46	72.46
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.68	0.77	0.84
LTM Dividend per Share	0.36	0.36	0.36
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.68	0.77	0.84
(=) Adjusted Dividend	1.04	1.13	1.20
WACC / Discount Rate	6.65%	6.65%	6.65%
Growth Rate	0.90%	1.90%	2.90%
Fair Value	$18.16	$24.28	$32.83
Upside / Downside	-56.68%	-42.07%	-21.68%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	93.77	95.55	97.36	99.21	101.09	103.01	106.10
Payout Ratio	27.67%	40.14%	52.60%	65.07%	77.53%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	25.95	38.35	51.22	64.56	78.38	92.71	98.14

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.65%	6.65%	6.65%
Growth Rate	0.90%	1.90%	2.90%
Year 1 PV (M)	35.61	35.96	36.31
Year 2 PV (M)	44.15	45.03	45.92
Year 3 PV (M)	51.67	53.22	54.80
Year 4 PV (M)	58.24	60.59	63.00
Year 5 PV (M)	63.96	67.19	70.56
PV of Terminal Value (M)	1,855.51	1,949.30	2,046.84
Equity Value (M)	2,109.14	2,211.29	2,317.44
Shares Outstanding (M)	72.46	72.46	72.46
Fair Value	$29.11	$30.52	$31.98
Upside / Downside	-30.56%	-27.20%	-23.71%

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Tootsie Roll Industries, Inc. (TR)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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