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TQR Public Company Limited (TQR.BK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Insurance - ReinsuranceSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$24.16 - $85.87$79.11
Multi-Stage$11.43 - $12.47$11.94
Blended Fair Value$45.53
Current Price$5.40
Upside743.10%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS11.37%0.00%0.410.420.290.180.470.240.100.000.000.00
YoY Growth---3.30%44.71%63.69%-61.83%95.91%143.71%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--8.27%6.01%2.42%1.48%2.21%4.69%1.93%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)99.31
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)89.93
(=) Cash Retained (M)9.38
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)19.8612.417.45
Cash Retained (M)9.389.389.38
(-) Cash Required (M)-19.86-12.41-7.45
(=) Excess Retained (M)-10.48-3.041.93
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)230.00230.00230.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.05-0.010.01
LTM Dividend per Share0.390.390.39
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.05-0.010.01
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.350.380.40
WACC / Discount Rate7.01%7.01%7.01%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$24.16$79.11$85.87
Upside / Downside347.34%1,365.07%1,490.17%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)99.31105.76112.64119.96127.76136.06140.14
Payout Ratio90.56%90.44%90.33%90.22%90.11%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)89.9395.66101.75108.23115.12122.45129.63

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.01%7.01%7.01%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)88.5589.3990.23
Year 2 PV (M)87.2088.8690.53
Year 3 PV (M)85.8688.3390.84
Year 4 PV (M)84.5587.8091.14
Year 5 PV (M)83.2587.2791.45
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,198.572,304.772,415.02
Equity Value (M)2,627.982,746.412,869.22
Shares Outstanding (M)230.00230.00230.00
Fair Value$11.43$11.94$12.47
Upside / Downside111.59%121.13%131.02%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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