Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Sector

PT Total Bangun Persada Tbk (TOTL.JK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Engineering & ConstructionSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$2,011.08 - $4,251.83$2,852.03
Multi-Stage$2,895.98 - $3,175.33$3,033.02
Blended Fair Value$2,942.53
Current Price$845.00
Upside248.23%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%1.34%40.00100.0025.0010.0010.0040.0050.0045.0040.0030.00
YoY Growth---60.00%300.00%150.00%0.00%-75.00%-20.00%11.11%12.50%33.33%-14.29%
Dividend Yield--7.02%20.83%7.86%3.42%2.98%12.90%8.13%6.38%4.94%4.29%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)380,340.63
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)255,750.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)124,590.63
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)76,068.1347,542.5828,525.55
Cash Retained (M)124,590.63124,590.63124,590.63
(-) Cash Required (M)-76,068.13-47,542.58-28,525.55
(=) Excess Retained (M)48,522.5077,048.0596,065.08
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)3,410.003,410.003,410.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share14.2322.5928.17
LTM Dividend per Share75.0075.0075.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share14.2322.5928.17
(=) Adjusted Dividend89.2397.59103.17
WACC / Discount Rate6.42%6.42%6.42%
Growth Rate1.90%2.90%3.90%
Fair Value$2,011.08$2,852.03$4,251.83
Upside / Downside138.00%237.52%403.17%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)380,340.63391,365.30402,709.53414,382.59426,394.01438,753.59451,916.20
Payout Ratio67.24%71.79%76.35%80.90%85.45%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)255,750.00280,976.35307,450.26335,222.84364,347.16394,878.23418,022.49

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.42%6.42%6.42%
Growth Rate1.90%2.90%3.90%
Year 1 PV (M)261,460.61264,026.50266,592.39
Year 2 PV (M)266,224.40271,475.32276,777.52
Year 3 PV (M)270,111.52278,142.17286,330.45
Year 4 PV (M)273,187.85284,070.65295,275.41
Year 5 PV (M)275,515.28289,302.32303,635.86
PV of Terminal Value (M)8,528,784.538,955,573.039,399,278.59
Equity Value (M)9,875,284.1810,342,590.0010,827,890.21
Shares Outstanding (M)3,410.003,410.003,410.00
Fair Value$2,895.98$3,033.02$3,175.33
Upside / Downside242.72%258.94%275.78%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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