Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Turnkey Communication Services Public Company Limited (TKC.BK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Engineering & ConstructionSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1.26 - $1.72$1.49
Multi-Stage$12.62 - $14.13$13.36
Blended Fair Value$7.43
Current Price$9.70
Upside-23.44%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR20242023202220212020201920182017
DPS-24.58%0.00%0.150.300.371.390.400.610.130.300.000.00
YoY Growth---49.98%-20.02%-73.08%248.26%-34.93%364.73%-55.60%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.86%2.11%1.58%5.31%2.22%3.42%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)116.11
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)80.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)36.11
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)23.2214.518.71
Cash Retained (M)36.1136.1136.11
(-) Cash Required (M)-23.22-14.51-8.71
(=) Excess Retained (M)12.8921.6027.40
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)400.00400.00400.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.030.050.07
LTM Dividend per Share0.200.200.20
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.030.050.07
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.230.250.27
WACC / Discount Rate0.65%0.65%0.65%
Growth Rate-14.98%-13.98%-12.98%
Fair Value$1.26$1.49$1.72
Upside / Downside-86.97%-84.60%-82.32%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)116.1199.8885.9273.9163.5854.6956.34
Payout Ratio68.90%73.12%77.34%81.56%85.78%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)80.0073.0366.4560.2854.5449.2252.11

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate0.65%0.65%0.65%
Growth Rate-14.98%-13.98%-12.98%
Year 1 PV (M)71.7272.5673.41
Year 2 PV (M)64.0865.6067.13
Year 3 PV (M)57.0959.1361.21
Year 4 PV (M)50.7253.1555.67
Year 5 PV (M)44.9647.6650.50
PV of Terminal Value (M)4,759.045,045.575,345.74
Equity Value (M)5,047.615,343.675,653.65
Shares Outstanding (M)400.00400.00400.00
Fair Value$12.62$13.36$14.13
Upside / Downside30.09%37.72%45.71%

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