Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Tiptree Inc. (TIPT)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Insurance - SpecialtySector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$36.24 - $123.36$59.45
Multi-Stage$23.93 - $26.12$25.00
Blended Fair Value$42.23
Current Price$19.17
Upside120.28%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS35.16%0.00%0.640.360.200.140.140.140.120.090.080.09
YoY Growth--80.74%76.60%43.74%-2.82%1.16%15.08%36.64%9.65%-3.68%0.00%
Dividend Yield--2.68%2.08%1.39%1.09%1.62%2.74%1.96%1.43%1.14%1.51%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)50.57
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)24.83
(=) Cash Retained (M)25.74
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)10.116.323.79
Cash Retained (M)25.7425.7425.74
(-) Cash Required (M)-10.11-6.32-3.79
(=) Excess Retained (M)15.6319.4221.95
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)38.5038.5038.50
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.410.500.57
LTM Dividend per Share0.640.640.64
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.410.500.57
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.051.151.21
WACC / Discount Rate8.56%8.56%8.56%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$36.24$59.45$123.36
Upside / Downside89.05%210.12%543.49%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)50.5753.8557.3561.0865.0569.2871.36
Payout Ratio49.10%57.28%65.46%73.64%81.82%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)24.8330.8537.5444.9853.2362.3566.01

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.56%8.56%8.56%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)28.1528.4228.68
Year 2 PV (M)31.2631.8632.46
Year 3 PV (M)34.1835.1636.16
Year 4 PV (M)36.9038.3239.78
Year 5 PV (M)39.4541.3643.33
PV of Terminal Value (M)751.30787.58825.26
Equity Value (M)921.24962.701,005.68
Shares Outstanding (M)38.5038.5038.50
Fair Value$23.93$25.00$26.12
Upside / Downside24.82%30.43%36.26%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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