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Dhipaya Group Holdings Public Company Limited (TIPH.BK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Insurance - DiversifiedSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$43.98 - $110.76$66.17
Multi-Stage$51.15 - $56.00$53.53
Blended Fair Value$59.85
Current Price$21.70
Upside175.81%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS2.19%4.91%1.631.281.821.821.671.461.411.391.391.14
YoY Growth--27.84%-29.85%0.10%9.09%13.79%3.57%1.82%-0.01%22.22%12.50%
Dividend Yield--8.96%4.05%4.31%3.17%6.00%7.75%6.31%5.55%5.91%6.18%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,193.56
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)913.09
(=) Cash Retained (M)280.47
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)238.71149.2089.52
Cash Retained (M)280.47280.47280.47
(-) Cash Required (M)-238.71-149.20-89.52
(=) Excess Retained (M)41.76131.28190.95
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)594.29594.29594.29
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.070.220.32
LTM Dividend per Share1.541.541.54
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.070.220.32
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.611.761.86
WACC / Discount Rate6.67%6.67%6.67%
Growth Rate2.91%3.91%4.91%
Fair Value$43.98$66.17$110.76
Upside / Downside102.67%204.94%410.42%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,193.561,240.281,288.831,339.281,391.711,446.181,489.57
Payout Ratio76.50%79.20%81.90%84.60%87.30%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)913.09982.321,055.561,133.041,214.961,301.561,377.85

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.67%6.67%6.67%
Growth Rate2.91%3.91%4.91%
Year 1 PV (M)912.00920.86929.72
Year 2 PV (M)909.84927.61945.55
Year 3 PV (M)906.71933.40960.61
Year 4 PV (M)902.67938.27974.91
Year 5 PV (M)897.79942.26988.48
PV of Terminal Value (M)25,868.0227,149.4528,481.18
Equity Value (M)30,397.0331,811.8633,280.45
Shares Outstanding (M)594.29594.29594.29
Fair Value$51.15$53.53$56.00
Upside / Downside135.71%146.68%158.07%

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