Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Theon International PLC (THEON.AS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Aerospace & DefenseSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$7.78 - $11.33$9.50
Multi-Stage$13.66 - $14.99$14.31
Blended Fair Value$11.91
Current Price$30.45
Upside-60.90%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019
DPS0.00%0.00%0.210.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.87%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)72.79
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)38.24
(=) Cash Retained (M)34.56
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)14.569.105.46
Cash Retained (M)34.5634.5634.56
(-) Cash Required (M)-14.56-9.10-5.46
(=) Excess Retained (M)20.0025.4629.10
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)69.5869.5869.58
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.290.370.42
LTM Dividend per Share0.550.550.55
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.290.370.42
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.840.920.97
WACC / Discount Rate8.54%8.54%8.54%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$7.78$9.50$11.33
Upside / Downside-74.44%-68.80%-62.78%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)72.7972.0771.3570.6369.9369.2371.30
Payout Ratio52.53%60.02%67.52%75.01%82.51%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)38.2443.2648.1752.9857.6962.3065.96

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.54%8.54%8.54%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)39.4539.8540.26
Year 2 PV (M)40.0740.8941.72
Year 3 PV (M)40.1941.4442.70
Year 4 PV (M)39.9241.5743.28
Year 5 PV (M)39.3141.3643.49
PV of Terminal Value (M)751.50790.63831.37
Equity Value (M)950.44995.741,042.82
Shares Outstanding (M)69.5869.5869.58
Fair Value$13.66$14.31$14.99
Upside / Downside-55.14%-53.00%-50.78%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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