Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Textainer Group Holdings Limited (TGH)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Rental & Leasing ServicesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$79.42 - $158.39$110.26
Multi-Stage$135.40 - $148.82$141.98
Blended Fair Value$126.12
Current Price$49.20
Upside156.34%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2023202220212020201920182017201620152014
DPS0.00%-3.77%1.671.550.520.000.000.000.000.682.212.50
YoY Growth--7.31%196.99%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%-69.44%-11.79%2.35%
Dividend Yield--3.39%4.83%1.37%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%4.41%14.88%8.35%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)204.67
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)70.94
(=) Cash Retained (M)133.73
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)40.9325.5815.35
Cash Retained (M)133.73133.73133.73
(-) Cash Required (M)-40.93-25.58-15.35
(=) Excess Retained (M)92.79108.14118.38
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)42.6042.6042.60
(=) Excess Retained per Share2.182.542.78
LTM Dividend per Share1.671.671.67
(+) Excess Retained per Share2.182.542.78
(=) Adjusted Dividend3.844.204.44
WACC / Discount Rate5.98%5.98%5.98%
Growth Rate1.08%2.08%3.08%
Fair Value$79.42$110.26$158.39
Upside / Downside61.42%124.10%221.94%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)204.67208.93213.29217.73222.27226.90233.71
Payout Ratio34.66%45.73%56.80%67.86%78.93%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)70.9495.55121.14147.76175.44204.21216.18

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate5.98%5.98%5.98%
Growth Rate1.08%2.08%3.08%
Year 1 PV (M)89.2790.1691.04
Year 2 PV (M)105.76107.86109.99
Year 3 PV (M)120.54124.15127.83
Year 4 PV (M)133.72139.09144.62
Year 5 PV (M)145.43152.77160.40
PV of Terminal Value (M)5,172.925,433.915,705.32
Equity Value (M)5,767.656,047.946,339.21
Shares Outstanding (M)42.6042.6042.60
Fair Value$135.40$141.98$148.82
Upside / Downside175.20%188.58%202.48%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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