Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

Miscellaneous

Indicators Charts WACC Beta Predictability

Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Tricon Residential Inc. (TCN)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Real Estate - ServicesSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$65.28 - $76.91$72.07
Multi-Stage$19.66 - $21.54$20.58
Blended Fair Value$46.33
Current Price$9.10
Upside409.09%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2023202220212020201920182017201620152014
DPS37.42%23.92%0.330.200.140.120.110.070.060.060.050.06
YoY Growth--61.43%48.53%12.30%12.33%61.99%7.65%7.35%9.03%-4.88%45.36%
Dividend Yield--3.60%2.62%0.86%0.93%0.83%0.51%0.48%0.44%0.41%0.43%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)113.13
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)60.90
(=) Cash Retained (M)52.24
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)22.6314.148.48
Cash Retained (M)52.2452.2452.24
(-) Cash Required (M)-22.63-14.14-8.48
(=) Excess Retained (M)29.6138.0943.75
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)292.56292.56292.56
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.100.130.15
LTM Dividend per Share0.210.210.21
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.100.130.15
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.310.340.36
WACC / Discount Rate5.07%5.07%5.07%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$65.28$72.07$76.91
Upside / Downside617.31%692.00%745.12%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)113.13120.49128.32136.66145.54155.00159.65
Payout Ratio53.83%61.06%68.30%75.53%82.77%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)60.9073.5787.64103.22120.46139.50147.68

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate5.07%5.07%5.07%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)69.3770.0270.68
Year 2 PV (M)77.9079.3980.88
Year 3 PV (M)86.5188.9991.52
Year 4 PV (M)95.1898.84102.61
Year 5 PV (M)103.93108.95114.16
PV of Terminal Value (M)5,318.505,575.395,842.11
Equity Value (M)5,751.396,021.586,301.96
Shares Outstanding (M)292.56292.56292.56
Fair Value$19.66$20.58$21.54
Upside / Downside116.03%126.18%136.71%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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