Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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TCM Group A/S (TCM.CO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Furnishings, Fixtures & AppliancesSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$59.50 - $91.99$74.58
Multi-Stage$135.15 - $148.77$141.83
Blended Fair Value$108.20
Current Price$73.60
Upside47.01%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%0.000.005.2012.440.004.540.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%-100.00%-58.15%0.00%-100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.00%0.00%7.77%9.87%0.00%4.95%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)67.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)31.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)36.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)13.408.385.03
Cash Retained (M)36.0036.0036.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-13.40-8.38-5.03
(=) Excess Retained (M)22.6027.6330.98
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)10.4510.4510.45
(=) Excess Retained per Share2.162.642.96
LTM Dividend per Share2.972.972.97
(+) Excess Retained per Share2.162.642.96
(=) Adjusted Dividend5.135.615.93
WACC / Discount Rate6.44%6.44%6.44%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$59.50$74.58$91.99
Upside / Downside-19.16%1.33%24.99%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)67.0066.3365.6765.0164.3663.7265.63
Payout Ratio46.27%55.01%63.76%72.51%81.25%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)31.0036.4941.8747.1452.2957.3460.71

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.44%6.44%6.44%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)33.9434.2834.63
Year 2 PV (M)36.2136.9537.70
Year 3 PV (M)37.9139.0840.28
Year 4 PV (M)39.1140.7342.41
Year 5 PV (M)39.8941.9644.13
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,225.801,289.631,356.09
Equity Value (M)1,412.861,482.651,555.24
Shares Outstanding (M)10.4510.4510.45
Fair Value$135.15$141.83$148.77
Upside / Downside83.63%92.70%102.13%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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