Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

SVOA Public Company Limited (SVOA.BK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Technology DistributorsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$3.27 - $6.02$4.40
Multi-Stage$5.36 - $5.89$5.62
Blended Fair Value$5.01
Current Price$1.40
Upside257.83%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS3.98%11.77%0.040.070.060.050.040.030.050.010.060.01
YoY Growth---48.58%22.41%16.00%25.00%33.16%-34.70%228.57%-75.00%330.77%8.33%
Dividend Yield--3.73%3.59%2.48%1.50%1.98%4.55%3.90%0.82%4.09%0.89%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)212.89
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)45.55
(=) Cash Retained (M)167.34
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)42.5826.6115.97
Cash Retained (M)167.34167.34167.34
(-) Cash Required (M)-42.58-26.61-15.97
(=) Excess Retained (M)124.76140.73151.37
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)947.00947.00947.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.130.150.16
LTM Dividend per Share0.050.050.05
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.130.150.16
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.180.200.21
WACC / Discount Rate6.43%6.43%6.43%
Growth Rate0.88%1.88%2.88%
Fair Value$3.27$4.40$6.02
Upside / Downside133.24%214.19%329.73%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)212.89216.88220.95225.10229.32233.62240.63
Payout Ratio21.40%35.12%48.84%62.56%76.28%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)45.5576.16107.91140.82174.93210.26222.59

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.43%6.43%6.43%
Growth Rate0.88%1.88%2.88%
Year 1 PV (M)70.8671.5672.26
Year 2 PV (M)93.4095.2697.14
Year 3 PV (M)113.39116.80120.27
Year 4 PV (M)131.05136.32141.75
Year 5 PV (M)146.55153.96161.66
PV of Terminal Value (M)4,520.274,748.804,986.49
Equity Value (M)5,075.515,322.705,579.58
Shares Outstanding (M)947.00947.00947.00
Fair Value$5.36$5.62$5.89
Upside / Downside282.83%301.47%320.85%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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