Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Strawberry Fields REIT LLC (STRW)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: REIT - Healthcare FacilitiesSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$5.82 - $9.07$7.32
Multi-Stage$13.98 - $15.38$14.66
Blended Fair Value$10.99
Current Price$12.30
Upside-10.62%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019
DPS0.00%0.00%0.350.250.060.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--40.49%350.86%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--2.96%3.15%0.82%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)7.02
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)4.97
(=) Cash Retained (M)2.05
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1.400.880.53
Cash Retained (M)2.052.052.05
(-) Cash Required (M)-1.40-0.88-0.53
(=) Excess Retained (M)0.651.181.53
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)11.4611.4611.46
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.060.100.13
LTM Dividend per Share0.430.430.43
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.060.100.13
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.490.540.57
WACC / Discount Rate6.25%6.25%6.25%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$5.82$7.32$9.07
Upside / Downside-52.64%-40.46%-26.24%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)7.026.956.886.826.756.686.88
Payout Ratio70.76%74.61%78.45%82.30%86.15%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)4.975.195.405.615.816.016.36

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.25%6.25%6.25%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)4.834.884.93
Year 2 PV (M)4.694.784.88
Year 3 PV (M)4.544.684.82
Year 4 PV (M)4.384.564.75
Year 5 PV (M)4.224.444.67
PV of Terminal Value (M)137.57144.74152.20
Equity Value (M)160.23168.08176.25
Shares Outstanding (M)11.4611.4611.46
Fair Value$13.98$14.66$15.38
Upside / Downside13.65%19.21%25.01%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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