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Shaver Shop Group Limited (SSG.AX)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Specialty RetailSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$5.13 - $13.14$7.76
Multi-Stage$5.30 - $5.80$5.55
Blended Fair Value$6.65
Current Price$1.34
Upside396.37%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS33.58%0.00%0.100.100.100.090.080.020.040.040.020.14
YoY Growth--1.50%0.37%8.43%19.65%221.84%-43.28%2.80%162.43%-88.99%0.00%
Dividend Yield--7.42%8.45%10.33%9.23%7.52%3.34%9.37%8.91%2.41%12.73%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)30.05
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)25.86
(=) Cash Retained (M)4.18
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)6.013.762.25
Cash Retained (M)4.184.184.18
(-) Cash Required (M)-6.01-3.76-2.25
(=) Excess Retained (M)-1.830.431.93
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)131.01131.01131.01
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.010.000.01
LTM Dividend per Share0.200.200.20
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.010.000.01
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.180.200.21
WACC / Discount Rate7.17%7.17%7.17%
Growth Rate3.47%4.47%5.47%
Fair Value$5.13$7.76$13.14
Upside / Downside282.58%478.80%880.47%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)30.0531.3932.7934.2635.7937.3938.51
Payout Ratio86.08%86.86%87.65%88.43%89.22%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)25.8627.2728.7430.3031.9333.6535.62

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.17%7.17%7.17%
Growth Rate3.47%4.47%5.47%
Year 1 PV (M)25.2025.4425.68
Year 2 PV (M)24.5525.0225.50
Year 3 PV (M)23.9124.6125.32
Year 4 PV (M)23.2924.2025.14
Year 5 PV (M)22.6823.8024.96
PV of Terminal Value (M)575.29603.63633.08
Equity Value (M)694.92726.71759.70
Shares Outstanding (M)131.01131.01131.01
Fair Value$5.30$5.55$5.80
Upside / Downside295.84%313.95%332.74%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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