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Definitive Analysis

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Seanergy Maritime Holdings Corp. (SHIP)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Marine ShippingSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$61.66 - $146.35$137.15
Multi-Stage$22.31 - $24.37$23.32
Blended Fair Value$80.23
Current Price$8.26
Upside871.36%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%0.530.300.880.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--78.25%-66.35%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--8.24%3.43%17.37%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)15.01
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)13.76
(=) Cash Retained (M)1.24
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)3.001.881.13
Cash Retained (M)1.241.241.24
(-) Cash Required (M)-3.00-1.88-1.13
(=) Excess Retained (M)-1.76-0.630.12
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)20.3920.3920.39
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.09-0.030.01
LTM Dividend per Share0.670.670.67
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.09-0.030.01
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.590.640.68
WACC / Discount Rate6.51%6.51%6.51%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$61.66$137.15$146.35
Upside / Downside646.44%1,560.42%1,671.78%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)15.0115.9817.0218.1319.3120.5621.18
Payout Ratio91.71%91.37%91.03%90.69%90.34%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)13.7614.6015.4916.4417.4418.5019.59

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.51%6.51%6.51%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)13.5813.7113.84
Year 2 PV (M)13.4013.6613.92
Year 3 PV (M)13.2313.6113.99
Year 4 PV (M)13.0513.5514.07
Year 5 PV (M)12.8813.5014.15
PV of Terminal Value (M)388.74407.52427.01
Equity Value (M)454.88475.55496.98
Shares Outstanding (M)20.3920.3920.39
Fair Value$22.31$23.32$24.37
Upside / Downside170.05%182.31%195.03%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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