Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Sabine Royalty Trust (SBR)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Oil & Gas Exploration & ProductionSector: Energy

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$69.32 - $119.39$90.90
Multi-Stage$100.84 - $110.73$105.69
Blended Fair Value$98.30
Current Price$79.46
Upside23.70%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%0.000.000.000.000.000.000.002.371.933.11
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%22.46%-37.72%-24.22%
Dividend Yield--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%5.39%5.43%10.49%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)79.26
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)18.24
(=) Cash Retained (M)61.02
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)15.859.915.94
Cash Retained (M)61.0261.0261.02
(-) Cash Required (M)-15.85-9.91-5.94
(=) Excess Retained (M)45.1751.1155.07
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)14.5814.5814.58
(=) Excess Retained per Share3.103.513.78
LTM Dividend per Share1.251.251.25
(+) Excess Retained per Share3.103.513.78
(=) Adjusted Dividend4.354.765.03
WACC / Discount Rate7.40%7.40%7.40%
Growth Rate1.06%2.06%3.06%
Fair Value$69.32$90.90$119.39
Upside / Downside-12.77%14.40%50.26%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)79.2680.8982.5684.2685.9987.7690.39
Payout Ratio23.02%36.41%49.81%63.21%76.60%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)18.2429.4541.1253.2665.8778.9983.61

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.40%7.40%7.40%
Growth Rate1.06%2.06%3.06%
Year 1 PV (M)27.1627.4327.69
Year 2 PV (M)34.9535.6536.35
Year 3 PV (M)41.7442.9944.26
Year 4 PV (M)47.6049.5151.48
Year 5 PV (M)52.6255.2858.04
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,266.131,330.031,396.48
Equity Value (M)1,470.201,540.881,614.30
Shares Outstanding (M)14.5814.5814.58
Fair Value$100.84$105.69$110.73
Upside / Downside26.91%33.01%39.35%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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