Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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SalfaCorp S.A. (SALFACORP.SN)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Engineering & ConstructionSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$13,313.59 - $15,686.98$14,700.38
Multi-Stage$9,059.53 - $9,946.40$9,494.65
Blended Fair Value$12,097.52
Current Price$745.06
Upside1,523.70%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019
DPS11.07%0.00%23.4019.4516.817.5012.6813.840.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--20.31%15.68%124.10%-40.84%-8.39%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--3.49%3.63%5.04%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)43,567.14
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)12,911.67
(=) Cash Retained (M)30,655.47
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)8,713.435,445.893,267.54
Cash Retained (M)30,655.4730,655.4730,655.47
(-) Cash Required (M)-8,713.43-5,445.89-3,267.54
(=) Excess Retained (M)21,942.0425,209.5827,387.93
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)549.90549.90549.90
(=) Excess Retained per Share39.9045.8449.81
LTM Dividend per Share23.4823.4823.48
(+) Excess Retained per Share39.9045.8449.81
(=) Adjusted Dividend63.3869.3273.29
WACC / Discount Rate1.92%1.92%1.92%
Growth Rate5.03%6.03%7.03%
Fair Value$13,313.59$14,700.38$15,686.98
Upside / Downside1,686.91%1,873.05%2,005.46%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)43,567.1446,192.8948,976.8951,928.6855,058.3858,376.6960,127.99
Payout Ratio29.64%41.71%53.78%65.85%77.93%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)12,911.6719,266.6026,340.6334,197.3842,905.4852,539.0255,618.39

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate1.92%1.92%1.92%
Growth Rate5.03%6.03%7.03%
Year 1 PV (M)18,725.1318,903.4219,081.71
Year 2 PV (M)24,880.8925,356.9425,837.51
Year 3 PV (M)31,394.4032,299.7233,222.28
Year 4 PV (M)38,281.7739,760.7141,282.09
Year 5 PV (M)45,559.7247,770.3850,066.02
PV of Terminal Value (M)4,823,003.055,057,025.225,300,044.69
Equity Value (M)4,981,844.975,221,116.395,469,534.29
Shares Outstanding (M)549.90549.90549.90
Fair Value$9,059.53$9,494.65$9,946.40
Upside / Downside1,115.95%1,174.35%1,234.98%

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