Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Joint-Stock Company Ryazanenergosbyt (RZSB.ME)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Regulated ElectricSector: Utilities

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$341.55 - $630.71$591.07
Multi-Stage$101.27 - $110.76$105.92
Blended Fair Value$348.50
Current Price$28.44
Upside1,125.37%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS52.05%71.34%2.462.091.390.820.350.300.200.080.000.00
YoY Growth--17.21%50.69%68.59%136.30%15.50%47.53%146.10%739,075.00%-99.64%-72.15%
Dividend Yield--7.71%5.28%4.94%5.53%2.39%5.48%5.22%2.48%0.00%0.11%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,126.90
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)768.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)358.90
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)225.38140.8684.52
Cash Retained (M)358.90358.90358.90
(-) Cash Required (M)-225.38-140.86-84.52
(=) Excess Retained (M)133.52218.04274.38
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)355.33355.33355.33
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.380.610.77
LTM Dividend per Share2.162.162.16
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.380.610.77
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.542.772.93
WACC / Discount Rate6.28%6.28%6.28%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$341.55$591.07$630.71
Upside / Downside1,100.96%1,978.30%2,117.69%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,126.901,200.151,278.161,361.241,449.721,543.951,590.27
Payout Ratio68.15%72.52%76.89%81.26%85.63%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)768.00870.36982.791,106.151,241.401,389.551,471.00

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.28%6.28%6.28%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)811.22818.91826.59
Year 2 PV (M)853.75870.01886.43
Year 3 PV (M)895.62921.33947.53
Year 4 PV (M)936.82972.851,009.90
Year 5 PV (M)977.361,024.571,073.59
PV of Terminal Value (M)31,508.9133,030.8134,610.95
Equity Value (M)35,983.6837,638.4739,354.98
Shares Outstanding (M)355.33355.33355.33
Fair Value$101.27$105.92$110.76
Upside / Downside256.08%272.45%289.44%

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