Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Regal Rexnord Corporation (RRX)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial - MachinerySector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$70.35 - $145.73$99.03
Multi-Stage$53.11 - $57.93$55.47
Blended Fair Value$77.25
Current Price$143.44
Upside-46.14%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS13.72%9.42%1.401.391.375.040.730.730.710.670.630.60
YoY Growth--0.22%2.09%-72.91%589.12%-0.41%3.60%6.07%5.70%4.73%6.35%
Dividend Yield--1.23%0.79%0.97%3.39%0.50%1.24%0.87%0.91%0.84%0.95%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)257.30
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)92.80
(=) Cash Retained (M)164.50
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)51.4632.1619.30
Cash Retained (M)164.50164.50164.50
(-) Cash Required (M)-51.46-32.16-19.30
(=) Excess Retained (M)113.04132.34145.20
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)66.5566.5566.55
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.701.992.18
LTM Dividend per Share1.391.391.39
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.701.992.18
(=) Adjusted Dividend3.093.383.58
WACC / Discount Rate10.14%10.14%10.14%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$70.35$99.03$145.73
Upside / Downside-50.95%-30.96%1.60%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)257.30274.02291.84310.81331.01352.52363.10
Payout Ratio36.07%46.85%57.64%68.43%79.21%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)92.80128.39168.21212.67262.20317.27335.87

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate10.14%10.14%10.14%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)115.48116.57117.67
Year 2 PV (M)136.08138.67141.29
Year 3 PV (M)154.74159.18163.71
Year 4 PV (M)171.59178.19184.98
Year 5 PV (M)186.75195.77205.13
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,769.542,903.313,042.20
Equity Value (M)3,534.183,691.703,854.98
Shares Outstanding (M)66.5566.5566.55
Fair Value$53.11$55.47$57.93
Upside / Downside-62.98%-61.33%-59.62%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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