Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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T. Rowe Price Mid-Cap Growth Fund (RPTIX)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Asset ManagementSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$81.40 - $131.81$104.05
Multi-Stage$103.94 - $113.62$108.69
Blended Fair Value$106.37
Current Price$108.24
Upside-1.73%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2023202220212020201920182017201620152014
DPS0.00%10.95%4.364.316.623.292.850.002.192.104.121.80
YoY Growth--1.29%-34.93%101.22%15.25%0.00%-100.00%4.12%-48.93%129.17%16.49%
Dividend Yield--4.03%4.52%6.35%2.82%3.90%0.00%2.48%2.58%5.64%2.25%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,891.30
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,126.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)765.30
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)378.26236.41141.85
Cash Retained (M)765.30765.30765.30
(-) Cash Required (M)-378.26-236.41-141.85
(=) Excess Retained (M)387.04528.89623.45
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)257.13257.13257.13
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.512.062.42
LTM Dividend per Share4.384.384.38
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.512.062.42
(=) Adjusted Dividend5.886.446.80
WACC / Discount Rate9.11%9.11%9.11%
Growth Rate1.76%2.76%3.76%
Fair Value$81.40$104.05$131.81
Upside / Downside-24.80%-3.87%21.77%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,891.301,943.441,997.012,052.072,108.642,166.772,231.77
Payout Ratio59.54%65.63%71.72%77.81%83.91%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,126.001,275.451,432.291,596.801,769.301,950.092,064.39

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.11%9.11%9.11%
Growth Rate1.76%2.76%3.76%
Year 1 PV (M)1,157.561,168.931,180.31
Year 2 PV (M)1,179.741,203.041,226.57
Year 3 PV (M)1,193.671,229.211,265.45
Year 4 PV (M)1,200.371,248.251,297.56
Year 5 PV (M)1,200.731,260.901,323.46
PV of Terminal Value (M)20,795.0421,837.1222,920.57
Equity Value (M)26,727.1027,947.4629,213.91
Shares Outstanding (M)257.13257.13257.13
Fair Value$103.94$108.69$113.62
Upside / Downside-3.97%0.42%4.97%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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