Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Sector

Royalty Pharma plc (RPRX)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: BiotechnologySector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$11.16 - $16.72$13.79
Multi-Stage$22.04 - $24.22$23.11
Blended Fair Value$18.45
Current Price$36.03
Upside-48.79%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-12.63%0.00%0.660.630.580.500.701.291.421.280.000.00
YoY Growth--5.06%7.50%16.88%-28.32%-46.18%-9.22%10.77%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--2.11%2.09%1.62%1.28%1.59%2.90%3.20%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)764.96
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)377.57
(=) Cash Retained (M)387.39
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)152.9995.6257.37
Cash Retained (M)387.39387.39387.39
(-) Cash Required (M)-152.99-95.62-57.37
(=) Excess Retained (M)234.40291.77330.02
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)572.15572.15572.15
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.410.510.58
LTM Dividend per Share0.660.660.66
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.410.510.58
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.071.171.24
WACC / Discount Rate7.40%7.40%7.40%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$11.16$13.79$16.72
Upside / Downside-69.04%-61.71%-53.59%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)764.96757.31749.73742.24734.81727.47749.29
Payout Ratio49.36%57.49%65.61%73.74%81.87%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)377.57435.35491.94547.35601.60654.72693.09

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.40%7.40%7.40%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)401.27405.37409.46
Year 2 PV (M)417.94426.51435.17
Year 3 PV (M)428.62441.88455.40
Year 4 PV (M)434.24452.23470.78
Year 5 PV (M)435.59458.27481.89
PV of Terminal Value (M)10,490.0311,036.2711,605.04
Equity Value (M)12,607.6913,220.5313,857.74
Shares Outstanding (M)572.15572.15572.15
Fair Value$22.04$23.11$24.22
Upside / Downside-38.84%-35.87%-32.78%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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