Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Ramelius Resources Limited (RMS.AX)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: GoldSector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$7.22 - $11.88$9.29
Multi-Stage$5.78 - $6.30$6.03
Blended Fair Value$7.66
Current Price$2.52
Upside204.04%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS60.58%0.00%0.060.020.010.020.010.010.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--305.35%140.07%-64.53%25.86%145.78%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--2.43%0.80%0.50%2.04%0.83%0.29%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)690.75
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)87.58
(=) Cash Retained (M)603.17
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)138.1586.3451.81
Cash Retained (M)603.17603.17603.17
(-) Cash Required (M)-138.15-86.34-51.81
(=) Excess Retained (M)465.02516.82551.36
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,147.631,147.631,147.63
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.410.450.48
LTM Dividend per Share0.080.080.08
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.410.450.48
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.480.530.56
WACC / Discount Rate12.54%12.54%12.54%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$7.22$9.29$11.88
Upside / Downside186.48%268.71%371.55%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)690.75735.65783.47834.39888.63946.39974.78
Payout Ratio12.68%28.14%43.61%59.07%74.54%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)87.58207.04341.65492.89662.35851.75901.67

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate12.54%12.54%12.54%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)182.25183.97185.70
Year 2 PV (M)264.73269.77274.86
Year 3 PV (M)336.18345.83355.67
Year 4 PV (M)397.67412.96428.69
Year 5 PV (M)450.15471.89494.47
PV of Terminal Value (M)4,996.885,238.235,488.82
Equity Value (M)6,627.856,922.667,228.20
Shares Outstanding (M)1,147.631,147.631,147.63
Fair Value$5.78$6.03$6.30
Upside / Downside129.18%139.37%149.94%

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