Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Ralph Lauren Corporation (RL)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Apparel - ManufacturersSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$113.39 - $168.94$139.83
Multi-Stage$148.05 - $162.20$154.99
Blended Fair Value$147.41
Current Price$311.97
Upside-52.75%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS-0.28%2.44%3.193.083.142.380.793.233.022.572.612.69
YoY Growth--3.34%-1.87%32.20%201.20%-75.58%6.92%17.43%-1.46%-3.06%7.59%
Dividend Yield--1.15%1.76%2.55%2.62%0.65%4.77%2.66%2.05%3.54%2.99%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)854.30
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)208.20
(=) Cash Retained (M)646.10
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)170.86106.7964.07
Cash Retained (M)646.10646.10646.10
(-) Cash Required (M)-170.86-106.79-64.07
(=) Excess Retained (M)475.24539.31582.03
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)63.1063.1063.10
(=) Excess Retained per Share7.538.559.22
LTM Dividend per Share3.303.303.30
(+) Excess Retained per Share7.538.559.22
(=) Adjusted Dividend10.8311.8512.52
WACC / Discount Rate10.04%10.04%10.04%
Growth Rate0.44%1.44%2.44%
Fair Value$113.39$139.83$168.94
Upside / Downside-63.65%-55.18%-45.85%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)854.30866.61879.11891.78904.63917.67945.20
Payout Ratio24.37%37.50%50.62%63.75%76.87%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)208.20324.95445.03568.49695.43825.90874.31

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate10.04%10.04%10.04%
Growth Rate0.44%1.44%2.44%
Year 1 PV (M)292.40295.32298.23
Year 2 PV (M)360.34367.55374.84
Year 3 PV (M)414.21426.71439.45
Year 4 PV (M)455.95474.38493.36
Year 5 PV (M)487.25512.00537.74
PV of Terminal Value (M)7,331.787,704.098,091.39
Equity Value (M)9,341.939,780.0410,235.00
Shares Outstanding (M)63.1063.1063.10
Fair Value$148.05$154.99$162.20
Upside / Downside-52.54%-50.32%-48.01%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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