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Definitive Analysis

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RCI Hospitality Holdings, Inc. (RICK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: RestaurantsSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$35.11 - $75.22$50.02
Multi-Stage$25.44 - $27.80$26.60
Blended Fair Value$38.31
Current Price$38.12
Upside0.50%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS12.95%0.00%0.260.240.200.160.140.140.130.130.100.00
YoY Growth--7.27%20.29%23.89%11.98%2.72%7.19%-0.17%35.73%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.45%0.36%0.21%0.21%0.36%0.68%0.58%0.47%0.56%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)16.56
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)2.48
(=) Cash Retained (M)14.07
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)3.312.071.24
Cash Retained (M)14.0714.0714.07
(-) Cash Required (M)-3.31-2.07-1.24
(=) Excess Retained (M)10.7612.0012.83
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)8.968.968.96
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.201.341.43
LTM Dividend per Share0.280.280.28
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.201.341.43
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.481.621.71
WACC / Discount Rate9.94%9.94%9.94%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$35.11$50.02$75.22
Upside / Downside-7.90%31.23%97.33%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)16.5617.6318.7820.0021.3022.6823.37
Payout Ratio15.00%30.00%45.00%60.00%75.00%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)2.485.298.4512.0015.9820.4221.61

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.94%9.94%9.94%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)4.774.814.86
Year 2 PV (M)6.866.997.12
Year 3 PV (M)8.789.039.29
Year 4 PV (M)10.5310.9311.35
Year 5 PV (M)12.1212.7113.32
PV of Terminal Value (M)184.83193.76203.03
Equity Value (M)227.89238.24248.97
Shares Outstanding (M)8.968.968.96
Fair Value$25.44$26.60$27.80
Upside / Downside-33.25%-30.22%-27.08%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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