Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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PT Roda Vivatex Tbk (RDTX.JK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Real Estate - ServicesSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$37,188.39 - $195,250.58$67,076.53
Multi-Stage$33,354.62 - $36,483.26$34,890.05
Blended Fair Value$50,983.29
Current Price$12,300.00
Upside314.50%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS65.14%26.57%1,103.931,003.92464.50134.8789.8789.8855.0090.0074.7284.68
YoY Growth--9.96%116.13%244.41%50.07%-0.01%63.41%-38.89%20.45%-11.76%-19.05%
Dividend Yield--9.05%7.05%4.42%1.87%1.34%1.91%0.71%1.76%1.00%1.06%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)310,301.35
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)296,737.12
(=) Cash Retained (M)13,564.23
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)62,060.2738,787.6723,272.60
Cash Retained (M)13,564.2313,564.2313,564.23
(-) Cash Required (M)-62,060.27-38,787.67-23,272.60
(=) Excess Retained (M)-48,496.04-25,223.44-9,708.38
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)268.80268.80268.80
(=) Excess Retained per Share-180.42-93.84-36.12
LTM Dividend per Share1,103.931,103.931,103.93
(+) Excess Retained per Share-180.42-93.84-36.12
(=) Adjusted Dividend923.521,010.101,067.82
WACC / Discount Rate6.43%6.43%6.43%
Growth Rate3.85%4.85%5.85%
Fair Value$37,188.39$67,076.53$195,250.58
Upside / Downside202.34%445.34%1,487.40%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)310,301.35325,340.46341,108.46357,640.68374,974.15393,147.70404,942.13
Payout Ratio95.63%94.50%93.38%92.25%91.13%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)296,737.12307,456.35318,517.58329,928.81341,697.96353,832.93374,571.47

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.43%6.43%6.43%
Growth Rate3.85%4.85%5.85%
Year 1 PV (M)286,138.14288,893.54291,648.93
Year 2 PV (M)275,878.59281,217.37286,607.31
Year 3 PV (M)265,948.24273,705.37281,611.90
Year 4 PV (M)256,337.15266,354.37276,662.36
Year 5 PV (M)247,035.70259,161.24271,758.32
PV of Terminal Value (M)7,634,385.118,009,112.778,398,412.63
Equity Value (M)8,965,722.939,378,444.669,806,701.44
Shares Outstanding (M)268.80268.80268.80
Fair Value$33,354.62$34,890.05$36,483.26
Upside / Downside171.18%183.66%196.61%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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