Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

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Industry

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Rocky Brands, Inc. (RCKY)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Apparel - Footwear & AccessoriesSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$29.91 - $47.99$38.08
Multi-Stage$32.10 - $35.11$33.58
Blended Fair Value$35.83
Current Price$29.79
Upside20.28%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS2.95%4.33%0.620.610.610.570.550.530.460.440.440.43
YoY Growth--1.01%0.59%5.56%5.03%2.66%14.44%6.56%-0.84%1.38%7.76%
Dividend Yield--3.54%2.22%2.62%1.38%1.01%2.75%1.81%2.03%3.81%3.41%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)20.56
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)4.63
(=) Cash Retained (M)15.94
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)4.112.571.54
Cash Retained (M)15.9415.9415.94
(-) Cash Required (M)-4.11-2.57-1.54
(=) Excess Retained (M)11.8213.3714.39
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)7.507.507.50
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.581.781.92
LTM Dividend per Share0.620.620.62
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.581.781.92
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.192.402.54
WACC / Discount Rate10.25%10.25%10.25%
Growth Rate2.72%3.72%4.72%
Fair Value$29.91$38.08$47.99
Upside / Downside0.39%27.84%61.09%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)20.5621.3322.1222.9423.7924.6825.42
Payout Ratio22.50%36.00%49.50%63.00%76.50%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)4.637.6810.9514.4518.2022.2123.51

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate10.25%10.25%10.25%
Growth Rate2.72%3.72%4.72%
Year 1 PV (M)6.906.967.03
Year 2 PV (M)8.839.019.18
Year 3 PV (M)10.4810.7811.10
Year 4 PV (M)11.8512.3212.80
Year 5 PV (M)12.9913.6314.30
PV of Terminal Value (M)189.60199.02208.80
Equity Value (M)240.65251.72263.21
Shares Outstanding (M)7.507.507.50
Fair Value$32.10$33.58$35.11
Upside / Downside7.76%12.72%17.86%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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