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Definitive Analysis

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Qatar Insurance Company Q.S.P.C. (QATI.QA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Insurance - DiversifiedSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1.96 - $2.96$2.43
Multi-Stage$4.40 - $4.85$4.62
Blended Fair Value$3.53
Current Price$2.13
Upside65.55%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-7.17%0.19%0.100.000.100.000.150.150.130.110.140.12
YoY Growth--0.00%-100.00%16,649.23%-99.61%5.13%15.66%13.27%-20.16%13.02%25.03%
Dividend Yield--5.43%0.00%6.25%0.02%6.18%6.94%3.42%2.95%2.27%1.96%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)743.41
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)337.96
(=) Cash Retained (M)405.45
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)148.6892.9355.76
Cash Retained (M)405.45405.45405.45
(-) Cash Required (M)-148.68-92.93-55.76
(=) Excess Retained (M)256.77312.52349.70
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)3,266.103,266.103,266.10
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.080.100.11
LTM Dividend per Share0.100.100.10
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.080.100.11
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.180.200.21
WACC / Discount Rate6.67%6.67%6.67%
Growth Rate-2.41%-1.41%-0.41%
Fair Value$1.96$2.43$2.96
Upside / Downside-8.12%14.09%39.04%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)743.41732.95722.64712.47702.44692.56713.34
Payout Ratio45.46%54.37%63.28%72.18%81.09%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)337.96398.49457.26514.29569.63623.30659.84

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.67%6.67%6.67%
Growth Rate-2.41%-1.41%-0.41%
Year 1 PV (M)369.78373.57377.35
Year 2 PV (M)393.73401.84410.03
Year 3 PV (M)410.92423.69436.71
Year 4 PV (M)422.34439.92458.04
Year 5 PV (M)428.84451.26474.61
PV of Terminal Value (M)12,359.7513,006.0913,679.19
Equity Value (M)14,385.3515,096.3615,835.94
Shares Outstanding (M)3,266.103,266.103,266.10
Fair Value$4.40$4.62$4.85
Upside / Downside106.78%117.00%127.63%

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