Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Pinthong Industrial Park Property Fund (PPF.BK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: REIT - IndustrialSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$8.44 - $12.96$10.55
Multi-Stage$19.12 - $21.01$20.05
Blended Fair Value$15.30
Current Price$10.30
Upside48.52%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR20232022202120202019
DPS0.00%0.00%0.740.690.720.740.670.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--7.97%-4.09%-2.70%10.58%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--7.20%6.08%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)208.54
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)169.10
(=) Cash Retained (M)39.44
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)41.7126.0715.64
Cash Retained (M)39.4439.4439.44
(-) Cash Required (M)-41.71-26.07-15.64
(=) Excess Retained (M)-2.2713.3723.80
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)224.51224.51224.51
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.010.060.11
LTM Dividend per Share0.750.750.75
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.010.060.11
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.740.810.86
WACC / Discount Rate6.63%6.63%6.63%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$8.44$10.55$12.96
Upside / Downside-18.06%2.40%25.85%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)208.54206.45204.39202.34200.32198.32204.27
Payout Ratio81.09%82.87%84.65%86.44%88.22%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)169.10171.09173.02174.90176.72178.49188.95

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.63%6.63%6.63%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)158.83160.45162.07
Year 2 PV (M)149.12152.18155.27
Year 3 PV (M)139.94144.27148.68
Year 4 PV (M)131.27136.71142.31
Year 5 PV (M)123.08129.49136.16
PV of Terminal Value (M)3,590.903,777.883,972.58
Equity Value (M)4,293.134,500.984,717.08
Shares Outstanding (M)224.51224.51224.51
Fair Value$19.12$20.05$21.01
Upside / Downside85.65%94.64%103.99%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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