Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Industry

Sector

Piraeus Port Authority S.A. (PPA.AT)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Marine ShippingSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$517.07 - $1,227.49$1,150.33
Multi-Stage$180.63 - $197.70$189.01
Blended Fair Value$669.67
Current Price$45.05
Upside1,386.51%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS25.80%0.00%1.341.040.630.400.540.420.170.090.110.00
YoY Growth--28.46%65.61%57.00%-25.76%27.08%147.66%91.93%-19.93%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--4.45%4.48%3.97%2.32%2.76%1.94%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)154.30
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)59.40
(=) Cash Retained (M)94.90
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)30.8619.2911.57
Cash Retained (M)94.9094.9094.90
(-) Cash Required (M)-30.86-19.29-11.57
(=) Excess Retained (M)64.0475.6283.33
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)25.0025.0025.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share2.563.023.33
LTM Dividend per Share2.382.382.38
(+) Excess Retained per Share2.563.023.33
(=) Adjusted Dividend4.945.405.71
WACC / Discount Rate6.51%6.51%6.51%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$517.07$1,150.33$1,227.49
Upside / Downside1,047.78%2,453.46%2,624.72%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)154.30164.33175.02186.39198.51211.41217.75
Payout Ratio38.50%48.80%59.10%69.40%79.70%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)59.4080.19103.43129.35158.21190.27201.42

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.51%6.51%6.51%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)74.5875.2976.00
Year 2 PV (M)89.4791.1892.90
Year 3 PV (M)104.07107.06110.11
Year 4 PV (M)118.39122.94127.63
Year 5 PV (M)132.43138.82145.47
PV of Terminal Value (M)3,996.924,189.974,390.41
Equity Value (M)4,515.874,725.274,942.50
Shares Outstanding (M)25.0025.0025.00
Fair Value$180.63$189.01$197.70
Upside / Downside300.96%319.56%338.85%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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