Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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PT PINAGO UTAMA Tbk (PNGO.JK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Agricultural Farm ProductsSector: Consumer Defensive

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$5,211.27 - $9,350.17$6,947.04
Multi-Stage$8,505.44 - $9,349.49$8,919.35
Blended Fair Value$7,933.20
Current Price$2,420.00
Upside227.82%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR20242023202220212020201920182017
DPS5.63%0.00%92.19130.00120.00102.0051.2070.1244.8064.000.000.00
YoY Growth---29.08%8.33%17.65%99.22%-26.98%56.51%-30.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--5.69%8.97%9.09%6.87%4.95%22.47%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)294,674.22
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)62,700.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)231,974.22
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)58,934.8436,834.2822,100.57
Cash Retained (M)231,974.22231,974.22231,974.22
(-) Cash Required (M)-58,934.84-36,834.28-22,100.57
(=) Excess Retained (M)173,039.38195,139.94209,873.65
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)781.25781.25781.25
(=) Excess Retained per Share221.49249.78268.64
LTM Dividend per Share80.2680.2680.26
(+) Excess Retained per Share221.49249.78268.64
(=) Adjusted Dividend301.75330.04348.89
WACC / Discount Rate6.60%6.60%6.60%
Growth Rate0.77%1.77%2.77%
Fair Value$5,211.27$6,947.04$9,350.17
Upside / Downside115.34%187.07%286.37%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)294,674.22299,879.52305,176.76310,567.58316,053.62321,636.58331,285.67
Payout Ratio21.28%35.02%48.77%62.51%76.26%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)62,700.00105,024.37148,824.46194,139.19241,008.42289,472.92306,439.25

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.60%6.60%6.60%
Growth Rate0.77%1.77%2.77%
Year 1 PV (M)97,552.7998,520.9099,489.01
Year 2 PV (M)128,402.52130,963.68133,550.13
Year 3 PV (M)155,582.98160,261.08165,032.04
Year 4 PV (M)179,403.41186,631.67194,076.20
Year 5 PV (M)200,150.20210,280.68220,817.26
PV of Terminal Value (M)5,883,780.326,181,584.066,491,326.07
Equity Value (M)6,644,872.216,968,242.077,304,290.69
Shares Outstanding (M)781.25781.25781.25
Fair Value$8,505.44$8,919.35$9,349.49
Upside / Downside251.46%268.57%286.34%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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