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Definitive Analysis

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Plaza Retail REIT (PLZ-UN.TO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: REIT - RetailSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$3.45 - $5.61$4.42
Multi-Stage$6.69 - $7.34$7.01
Blended Fair Value$5.72
Current Price$3.91
Upside46.18%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS1.50%3.48%0.280.270.260.260.260.260.220.220.210.21
YoY Growth--1.99%6.30%0.01%-0.05%-0.61%18.50%-2.04%3.32%3.21%5.56%
Dividend Yield--7.36%7.58%6.14%5.03%6.45%8.39%5.25%5.44%4.37%4.45%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)35.15
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)30.91
(=) Cash Retained (M)4.24
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)7.034.392.64
Cash Retained (M)4.244.244.24
(-) Cash Required (M)-7.03-4.39-2.64
(=) Excess Retained (M)-2.79-0.151.61
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)111.33111.33111.33
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.030.000.01
LTM Dividend per Share0.280.280.28
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.030.000.01
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.250.280.29
WACC / Discount Rate6.81%6.81%6.81%
Growth Rate-0.48%0.52%1.52%
Fair Value$3.45$4.42$5.61
Upside / Downside-11.75%13.01%43.48%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)35.1535.3435.5235.7135.8936.0837.16
Payout Ratio87.93%88.34%88.76%89.17%89.59%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)30.9131.2231.5331.8432.1532.4734.37

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.81%6.81%6.81%
Growth Rate-0.48%0.52%1.52%
Year 1 PV (M)28.9429.2329.52
Year 2 PV (M)27.0927.6428.19
Year 3 PV (M)25.3626.1326.92
Year 4 PV (M)23.7424.7125.71
Year 5 PV (M)22.2223.3624.55
PV of Terminal Value (M)618.00649.68682.64
Equity Value (M)745.35780.75817.52
Shares Outstanding (M)111.33111.33111.33
Fair Value$6.69$7.01$7.34
Upside / Downside71.23%79.36%87.81%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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