Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

PJT Partners Inc. (PJT)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Financial - Capital MarketsSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$104.84 - $320.75$167.14
Multi-Stage$68.30 - $74.69$71.43
Blended Fair Value$119.29
Current Price$177.73
Upside-32.88%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS39.03%0.00%0.550.550.561.770.110.110.100.090.082.02
YoY Growth---1.25%-0.80%-68.41%1,518.05%3.75%7.55%13.78%1.82%-95.81%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.40%0.58%0.77%2.80%0.16%0.24%0.23%0.17%0.24%8.39%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)178.06
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)24.40
(=) Cash Retained (M)153.66
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)35.6122.2613.35
Cash Retained (M)153.66153.66153.66
(-) Cash Required (M)-35.61-22.26-13.35
(=) Excess Retained (M)118.05131.40140.30
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)44.0744.0744.07
(=) Excess Retained per Share2.682.983.18
LTM Dividend per Share0.550.550.55
(+) Excess Retained per Share2.682.983.18
(=) Adjusted Dividend3.233.543.74
WACC / Discount Rate8.75%8.75%8.75%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$104.84$167.14$320.75
Upside / Downside-41.01%-5.96%80.47%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)178.06189.63201.96215.09229.07243.96251.27
Payout Ratio13.70%28.96%44.22%59.48%74.74%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)24.4054.9289.31127.94171.21219.56232.43

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.75%8.75%8.75%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)50.0350.5050.98
Year 2 PV (M)74.1075.5176.94
Year 3 PV (M)96.6999.47102.30
Year 4 PV (M)117.86122.40127.06
Year 5 PV (M)137.68144.33151.24
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,533.692,656.072,783.13
Equity Value (M)3,010.063,148.283,291.63
Shares Outstanding (M)44.0744.0744.07
Fair Value$68.30$71.43$74.69
Upside / Downside-61.57%-59.81%-57.98%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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