Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

Promotora y Operadora de Infraestructura, S. A. B. de C. V. (PINFRA.MX)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Engineering & ConstructionSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$7,446.47 - $8,773.20$8,221.77
Multi-Stage$5,523.84 - $6,063.33$5,788.54
Blended Fair Value$7,005.16
Current Price$249.84
Upside2,703.86%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%5.345.348.015.345.345.345.342.141.070.00
YoY Growth--0.00%-33.33%50.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%150.00%100.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--2.58%3.01%4.45%3.39%3.42%3.36%2.73%1.19%0.53%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)16,513.81
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)2,000.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)14,513.81
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)3,302.762,064.231,238.54
Cash Retained (M)14,513.8114,513.8114,513.81
(-) Cash Required (M)-3,302.76-2,064.23-1,238.54
(=) Excess Retained (M)11,211.0512,449.5913,275.28
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)374.34374.34374.34
(=) Excess Retained per Share29.9533.2635.46
LTM Dividend per Share5.345.345.34
(+) Excess Retained per Share29.9533.2635.46
(=) Adjusted Dividend35.2938.6040.81
WACC / Discount Rate0.46%0.46%0.46%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$7,446.47$8,221.77$8,773.20
Upside / Downside2,880.49%3,190.81%3,411.53%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)16,513.8117,587.2118,730.3819,947.8521,244.4622,625.3523,304.12
Payout Ratio12.11%27.69%43.27%58.84%74.42%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)2,000.004,869.708,104.0111,738.2015,810.6020,362.8221,556.31

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate0.46%0.46%0.46%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)4,802.024,847.534,893.05
Year 2 PV (M)7,880.308,030.408,181.91
Year 3 PV (M)11,255.5311,578.6411,907.87
Year 4 PV (M)14,949.7715,524.7016,116.05
Year 5 PV (M)18,986.5319,903.5820,855.74
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,009,934.942,107,015.552,207,811.66
Equity Value (M)2,067,809.092,166,900.402,269,766.28
Shares Outstanding (M)374.34374.34374.34
Fair Value$5,523.84$5,788.54$6,063.33
Upside / Downside2,110.95%2,216.90%2,326.89%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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