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Definitive Analysis

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PHINIA Inc. (PHIN)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Auto - PartsSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$15.17 - $21.73$18.38
Multi-Stage$24.79 - $27.18$25.96
Blended Fair Value$22.17
Current Price$57.48
Upside-61.43%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR20242023202220212020
DPS0.00%0.00%1.070.560.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--91.30%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--2.52%1.42%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)90.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)43.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)47.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)18.0011.256.75
Cash Retained (M)47.0047.0047.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-18.00-11.25-6.75
(=) Excess Retained (M)29.0035.7540.25
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)41.0841.0841.08
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.710.870.98
LTM Dividend per Share1.051.051.05
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.710.870.98
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.751.922.03
WACC / Discount Rate9.33%9.33%9.33%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$15.17$18.38$21.73
Upside / Downside-73.61%-68.02%-62.19%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)90.0089.1088.2187.3386.4585.5988.16
Payout Ratio47.78%56.22%64.67%73.11%81.56%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)43.0050.0957.0463.8570.5177.0381.55

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.33%9.33%9.33%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)45.3645.8246.28
Year 2 PV (M)46.7747.7248.69
Year 3 PV (M)47.3948.8650.36
Year 4 PV (M)47.3949.3651.38
Year 5 PV (M)46.8849.3251.86
PV of Terminal Value (M)784.44825.29867.82
Equity Value (M)1,018.231,066.371,116.40
Shares Outstanding (M)41.0841.0841.08
Fair Value$24.79$25.96$27.18
Upside / Downside-56.87%-54.83%-52.71%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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